Tropical Storm GREG
ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GREG FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072011
0900 UTC WED AUG 17 2011
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
INTERESTS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 102.2W AT 17/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 0SE 0SW 30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 102.2W AT 17/0900Z
AT 17/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 101.5W
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 16.6N 104.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 45SE 30SW 45NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 17.4N 107.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 25SE 0SW 35NW.
34 KT... 75NE 60SE 45SW 75NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 18.0N 110.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
50 KT... 45NE 35SE 20SW 45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 18.4N 112.6W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.1N 115.8W
MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 35SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 100NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N 118.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 20.5N 120.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N 102.2W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN