| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Subtropical Storm SEAN (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM SEAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL192011
1500 UTC TUE NOV 08 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  69.4W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......300NE   0SE 150SW 330NW.
12 FT SEAS..400NE 350SE 300SW 400NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  69.4W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.6N  69.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 27.8N  69.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE  90SE 150SW 330NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 28.2N  70.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 150SE 150SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 29.2N  70.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...300NE 150SE 150SW 300NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 30.2N  70.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...270NE 120SE  90SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 33.5N  66.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...240NE 150SE  60SW 210NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 40.0N  55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.7N  69.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
NNNN