Tropical Storm RINA

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM RINA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2             
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL182011               
0300 UTC MON OCT 24 2011                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RINA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       1       2       2       3       9      19      22
TROP DEPRESSION 16      16      14      13      17      17       7
TROPICAL STORM  81      75      69      62      52      44      44
HURRICANE        2       7      14      23      22      20      27
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        2       7      12      18      18      17      22
HUR CAT 2        X       1       2       3       3       2       4
HUR CAT 3        X       X       1       1       1       1       1
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   40KT    45KT    50KT    55KT    60KT    65KT    65KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
FRONTERA MX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
MERIDA MX      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   8(18)
MERIDA MX      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
COZUMEL MX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)  13(19)   9(28)   8(36)
COZUMEL MX     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)
COZUMEL MX     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)
 
BELIZE         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  14(19)  10(29)   4(33)
BELIZE         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)
BELIZE         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
PUERTO BARRIOS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   6( 8)   5(13)   2(15)
PUERTO BARRIOS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
GUANAJA        34  X   1( 1)   9(10)  12(22)  12(34)   7(41)   2(43)
GUANAJA        50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   5( 9)   2(11)   1(12)
GUANAJA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   6( 9)   6(15)  10(25)
CP SAN ANTONIO 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   3( 7)
CP SAN ANTONIO 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   3( 5)   5(10)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   4( 9)   7(16)
ISLE OF PINES  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   5( 7)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   5(13)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER STEWART                                                  
NNNN