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Tropical Storm PHILIPPE (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  57
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
0900 UTC SAT OCT 08 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  50.1W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  21 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 180SE 180SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.1N  50.1W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  51.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 33.5N  47.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 100SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 37.5N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 41.0N  41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...240NE 240SE 240SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 44.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 52.5N  31.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 58.0N  22.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.1N  50.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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