Tropical Storm PHILIPPE

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TROPICAL STORM PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  55
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
2100 UTC FRI OCT 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  54.2W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR  70 DEGREES AT  11 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 150SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N  54.2W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.9N  55.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 31.5N  51.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  90SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 35.0N  47.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  75SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 39.0N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 200SE 200SW 200NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 42.5N  41.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 240SE 270SW 240NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 49.5N  35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 240SE 150SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1800Z 58.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z...ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N  54.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH/ZELINSKY
 
 
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