Hurricane PHILIPPE

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HURRICANE PHILIPPE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  50
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL172011
1500 UTC THU OCT 06 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  60.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  45SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  90SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.8N  60.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N  60.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 28.6N  59.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 29.6N  56.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 31.0N  53.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE 105SE  90SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 33.4N  49.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 135SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 39.5N  45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 240SW 240NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 45.0N  41.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 51.5N  37.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.8N  60.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/PASCH
 
 
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