Tropical Storm MARIA

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TROPICAL STORM MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  27
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0900 UTC TUE SEP 13 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FOR BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  67.7W AT 13/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......200NE 175SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE   0SE   0SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.6N  67.7W AT 13/0900Z
AT 13/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  67.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 22.8N  68.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 175SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 24.8N  68.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  75SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 27.5N  68.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  30SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 31.2N  67.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE  60SW  85NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 39.8N  61.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...175NE 175SE 100SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 51.0N  45.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z...DISSIPATED/ABSORBED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.6N  67.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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