Tropical Depression FOURTEEN

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142011
0300 UTC WED SEP 07 2011
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  38.1W AT 07/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N  38.1W AT 07/0300Z
AT 07/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N  37.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 12.2N  40.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 12.9N  44.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 13.6N  48.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 14.4N  52.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  25NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.0N  58.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/0000Z 18.0N  63.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0000Z 21.0N  67.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N  38.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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