Hurricane KATIA
ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KATIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122011
0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2011
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED X X X X X 1 7
TROP DEPRESSION X X X X 1 2 10
TROPICAL STORM X 1 4 4 14 25 42
HURRICANE 99 99 96 95 85 72 42
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 10 15 22 22 35 36 28
HUR CAT 2 57 40 36 31 26 22 11
HUR CAT 3 31 36 31 31 19 12 3
HUR CAT 4 2 7 6 11 4 2 1
HUR CAT 5 X 1 1 1 X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 95KT 100KT 100KT 105KT 100KT 95KT 85KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
HALIFAX NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
YARMOUTH NS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
ST JOHN NB 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
EASTPORT ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
BAR HARBOR ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
AUGUSTA ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
PORTLAND ME 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
CONCORD NH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
BOSTON MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8)
HYANNIS MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12)
HYANNIS MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
HYANNIS MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
NANTUCKET MA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15)
NANTUCKET MA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5)
NANTUCKET MA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
PROVIDENCE RI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 10(12)
PROVIDENCE RI 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
HARTFORD CT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10)
MONTAUK POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14)
MONTAUK POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
MONTAUK POINT 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
NEW YORK CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13)
NEW YORK CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
NEWARK NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
TRENTON NJ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 9(11)
ATLANTIC CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15)
ATLANTIC CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
BALTIMORE MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
DOVER DE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 10(14)
DOVER DE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20)
OCEAN CITY MD 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
OCEAN CITY MD 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1)
RICHMOND VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12)
NORFOLK NAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 11(20)
NORFOLK NAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
NORFOLK NAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
NORFOLK VA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 11(20)
NORFOLK VA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6)
NORFOLK VA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
GREENSBORO NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
RALEIGH NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 10(30)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 8(22)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
WILMINGTON NC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 6(16)
WILMINGTON NC 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10)
CHARLESTON SC 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
BERMUDA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 11(19) 6(25) 4(29)
BERMUDA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5)
BERMUDA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2)
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
NNNN
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