Hurricane IRENE

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HURRICANE IRENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092011
0300 UTC THU AUG 25 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHEASTERN...CENTRAL...AND NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
 
INTERESTS FROM THE CAROLINAS NORTHWARD THROUGH NEW ENGLAND SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE. HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WATCHES
WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF THE CAROLINAS
EARLY THURSDAY.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  75.4W AT 25/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 60NE  60SE  25SW  50NW.
50 KT.......100NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT.......220NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE  90SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  75.4W AT 25/0300Z
AT 25/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N  75.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 25.5N  76.5W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 27.5N  77.3W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 29.5N  77.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  60SE  25SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 31.5N  77.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  50SW  80NW.
34 KT...220NE 180SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 36.0N  75.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...225NE 225SE 140SW 140NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 175 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 42.5N  72.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 50.0N  67.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N  75.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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