Tropical Storm ARLENE

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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012011
0300 UTC WED JUN 29 2011
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO FROM BARRA DE NAUTLA NORTHWARD TO
BAHIA ALGODONES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  94.1W AT 29/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.4N  94.1W AT 29/0300Z
AT 29/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.2N  93.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 21.8N  95.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  40SE  40SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 22.0N  96.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  50SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 21.9N  97.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 21.7N  98.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 21.3N 100.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED
  
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.4N  94.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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