Tropical Depression GEORGETTE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     EP122010
800 AM PDT WED SEP 22 2010
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GEORGETTE HEADING TOWARD MAINLAND MEXICO WITH
HEAVY SQUALLS...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...26.8N 111.0W
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM S OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO FROM HUATABAMPITO NORTHWARD TO BAHIA
KINO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA ...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
GEORGETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0
WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 14
MPH...22 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTH IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK THE DEPRESSION WILL MAKE LANDFALL OVER MAINLAND
MEXICO WITHIN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA LATER TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED BEFORE
LANDFALL...BUT WEAKENING SHOULD BEGIN THEREAFTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN GUSTS WITHIN
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH AREA TODAY.
 
RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
STATE OF SONORA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES
POSSIBLE. THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. MOISTURE FROM GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO
SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN UNITED STATES DURING THE
NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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