Tropical Storm GEORGETTE

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TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL     EP122010
200 PM PDT TUE SEP 21 2010
 
...GEORGETTE MAKES LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...23.3N 109.9W
ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM N OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD TO
CABO SAN LUCAS
* THE EAST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM BUENAVISTA SOUTHWARD TO
CABO SAN LUCAS
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GEORGETTE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST.
GEORGETTE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15
KM/HR.  A NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TO NORTHWARD MOTION WITH SOME INCREASE 
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GEORGETTE WILL MOVE OVER THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT....AND THEN OVER THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA WEDNESDAY AND MAKE LANDFALL IN MAINLAND MEXICO
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON OR WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST AS GEORGETTE MOVES OVER LAND...
FOLLOWED BY LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH AS IT MOVES OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA.  GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE AFTER LANDFALL IN
MAINLAND MEXICO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING
AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING.

RAINFALL...GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA AND
THE MEXICAN STATES OF SINALOA AND WESTERN SONORA...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINFALL AMOUNTS MAY
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.  MOISTURE FROM
GEORGETTE IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN
UNITED STATES DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
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