ZCZC MIATCDEP5 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102010 200 AM PDT SAT SEP 04 2010 EASTERLY SHEAR HAS TAKEN A TOLL ON THE DEPRESSION. NIGHTTIME VISIBLE IMAGERY SHOWS THE EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF THE CYCLONE MORE THAN TWO DEGREES REMOVED FROM THE NEAREST DEEP CONVECTION. WITH THE DEPRESSION ENCOUNTERING MODERATE EASTERLY SHEAR...A STABLE AIR MASS...AND COOLER WATERS...A GRADUAL SPIN-DOWN OF THE VORTEX IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 305/7...SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. NOW A SHALLOW SYSTEM...THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD BE STEERED BY THE LOW- LEVEL FLOW RESULTING IN A WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION UNTIL DISSIPATION. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 04/0900Z 21.5N 111.3W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12HR VT 04/1800Z 22.1N 112.6W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24HR VT 05/0600Z 22.6N 114.4W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36HR VT 05/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN NNNN
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