ZCZC MIATCDEP3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP082010 200 AM PDT SAT AUG 21 2010 THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION IS ONLY PRODUCING A SMALL SHAPELESS AREA OF CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHWESTERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS LOWERED TO 25 KT FOR THIS ADVISORY...IN AGREEMENT WITH SATELLITE INTENSITY ESTIMATES. THE COMBINED EFFECTS OF MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY SHEAR AND COOLER WATERS ALONG THE FORECAST TRACK SHOULD CAUSE CONTINUED WEAKENING. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST NOW CALLS FOR WEAKENING TO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY AND DISSIPATION IN A COUPLE OF DAYS. THE INITIAL MOTION IS 295/9...SLIGHTLY TO THE LEFT OF THE PREVIOUS ESTIMATES. A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS THE DEPRESSION BECOMES A SHALLOW SYSTEM AND IS STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL FLOW. THIS TRACK FORECAST IS BASICALLY AN UPDATE OF THE PREVIOUS ONE. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 21/0900Z 20.4N 110.8W 25 KT 12HR VT 21/1800Z 20.7N 111.7W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24HR VT 22/0600Z 20.9N 112.9W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36HR VT 22/1800Z 20.9N 113.9W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48HR VT 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Friday, 15-Apr-2011 12:09:33 UTC