Tropical Depression SEVEN-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP072010
1500 UTC FRI AUG 06 2010
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 104.0W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  50 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 104.0W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 103.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.1N 105.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.8N 107.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 18.3N 108.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 18.8N 109.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.5N 111.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 20.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 11/1200Z 20.0N 114.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.6N 104.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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