ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 7 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062010 200 AM PDT FRI JUL 16 2010 ALTHOUGH THE DEPRESSION HAS MAINTAINED A LARGE CYCLONIC CIRCULATION...0512 UTC ASCAT DATA SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM CONSISTS OF A BROAD AND ELONGATED AREA OF LIGHT WINDS...AND 0605 UTC TRMM DATA SHOWS MULTIPLE EMBEDDED LOW-LEVEL SWIRLS. THIS PATTERN WAS ALSO OBSERVED IN THE LAST FEW VISIBLE IMAGES. SINCE THE SYSTEM DOES NOT HAVE A WELL-DEFINED CENTER AND NO LONGER SATISFIES THE DEFINITION OF A TROPICAL CYCLONE...THIS WILL BE THE LAST ADVISORY. AT THIS POINT...REGENERATION APPEARS UNLIKELY SINCE MODERATE EAST-NORTHEASTERLY SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR ANOTHER 24 HOURS OR SO...JUST AS THE SYSTEM IS MOVING OVER WATERS COLDER THAN 26.5C. THE REMNANT LOW WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BURSTS OF CONVECTION UNTIL IT DISSIPATES IN A FEW DAYS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING AT AN AVERAGE MOTION OF 300/9...BUT THIS IS HIGHLY UNCERTAIN GIVEN THE LACK OF A WELL-DEFINED CENTER. THE REMNANT LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS...STEERED BY THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY TRADE WINDS...BUT THE MOTION COULD CONTINUE TO BE RATHER ERRATIC. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 16/0900Z 17.2N 109.9W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12HR VT 16/1800Z 17.8N 111.3W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24HR VT 17/0600Z 18.3N 113.3W 25 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36HR VT 17/1800Z 18.6N 115.3W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48HR VT 18/0600Z 18.6N 117.7W 20 KT...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72HR VT 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BERG NNNN
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