ZCZC MIATCMEP4 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM HURRICANE CELIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042010 2100 UTC MON JUN 21 2010 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 103.3W AT 21/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 977 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT. 64 KT....... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT....... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 90SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 103.3W AT 21/2100Z AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 102.9W FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 11.5N 104.4W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 15SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT... 35NE 30SE 30SW 35NW. 34 KT... 70NE 60SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 11.5N 105.8W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 45NE 30SE 30SW 45NW. 34 KT... 90NE 75SE 75SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 11.5N 107.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 11.8N 109.5W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 12.9N 113.4W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 80SW 100NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 14.5N 117.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 16.5N 121.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 103.3W NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN NNNN
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