Tropical Depression TWO-E

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022010
2100 UTC WED JUN 16 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
FROM WEST OF LAGUNAS DE CHACAHUA TO PUNTA MALDONADO WITH A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM WEST OF
PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SALINA CRUZ TO PUNTA MALDONADO MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF PUNTA MALDONADO TO ACAPULCO MEXICO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  95.8W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N  95.8W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9N  95.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 15.1N  96.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 15.3N  97.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 15.5N  98.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 15.7N  99.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 16.0N 101.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 16.3N 104.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 16.5N 107.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N  95.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN/KIMBERLAIN
 
 
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