Hurricane TOMAS

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HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  31
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
2100 UTC FRI NOV 05 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR THE PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN.  THE GOVERNMENT
OF CUBA HAS ALSO CHANGED THE HURRICANE WARNING IN GUANTANAMO TO A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO BARAHONA
* THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI BORDER
EASTWARD TO PUERTO PLATA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  73.8W AT 05/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT  12 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 120SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 180SE  45SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.3N  73.8W AT 05/2100Z
AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.8N  74.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.0N  72.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.9N  71.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 24.8N  70.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...105NE 120SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 25.4N  69.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE  90SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 26.5N  67.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 26.5N  63.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 27.0N  61.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.3N  73.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/BEVEN
 
 
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