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Hurricane TOMAS (Text)

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HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
0900 UTC FRI NOV 05 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI
BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24
HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
COMPLETE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  74.9W AT 05/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  25SW  20NW.
34 KT.......120NE 120SE  35SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 210SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  74.9W AT 05/0900Z
AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.7N  75.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.8N  73.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  25SW  30NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  45SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.1N  72.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 24.4N  70.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 25.8N  69.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 27.5N  67.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 28.5N  65.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z 28.5N  63.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.1N  74.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH
 
 
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