Tropical Storm TOMAS

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TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  26...CORRECTED
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
1500 UTC THU NOV 04 2010

CORRECTED INITIAL INTENSITY TO 45 KT
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE CUBAN
PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* THE CUBAN PROVINCE OF GUANTANAMO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA AND HOLGUIN
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI
BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS.  THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  76.1W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 75NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE 180SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N  76.1W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  76.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 17.5N  75.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 19.5N  74.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 21.8N  73.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  25SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 24.3N  71.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 28.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 120SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 29.5N  66.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 29.5N  63.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N  76.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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