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Tropical Storm TOMAS (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
0900 UTC THU NOV 04 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
JAMAICA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAITI
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM THE HAITI
BORDER EASTWARD TO BARAHONA
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF GUANTANAMO...SANTIAGO DE CUBA...AND HOLGUIN
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36
HOURS BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-
FORCE WINDS.  THESE CONDITIONS MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT
OR DANGEROUS AND PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  76.1W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.8N  76.1W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  76.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 17.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 18.8N  75.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 21.0N  73.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 23.5N  71.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  50SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 26.0N  69.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 28.0N  67.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 28.0N  65.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.8N  76.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/PASCH
 
 
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