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Tropical Depression TOMAS (Text)

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
1500 UTC WED NOV 03 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS CHANGED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR
JAMAICA TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SHOULD
ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES AND
WARNINGS MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER TODAY.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  75.9W AT 03/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  75.9W AT 03/1500Z
AT 03/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N  75.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.5N  76.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.5N  76.2W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...100NE  40SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.8N  75.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 18.1N  74.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 21.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  90SE  90SW 150NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 23.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 23.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  75.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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