Tropical Storm TOMAS

ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
0300 UTC WED NOV 03 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* JAMAICA
 
INTERESTS IN HAITI...THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...AND SOUTHEASTERN CUBA
SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF TOMAS.  TOMAS COULD POSE A
SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THOSE AREAS LATER IN THE WEEK.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  75.1W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 90NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  60SE  60SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N  75.1W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.6N  74.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 14.0N  75.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...100NE  40SE   0SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 14.4N  76.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.0N  76.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 16.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 19.0N  73.9W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 105NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 22.0N  71.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 22.5N  69.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N  75.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
 
 
NNNN