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Hurricane TOMAS (Text)

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HURRICANE TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
1500 UTC SAT OCT 30 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS REPLACED THE HURRICANE WARNING
WITH A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* DOMINICA
* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
* GRENADA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE COMPLETE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  60.7W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  25SE  15SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE  90SE  50SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N  60.7W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N  60.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 13.8N  62.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  25SE  15SW  40NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 14.4N  64.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 55NE  35SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...150NE  80SE  50SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.8N  67.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  95SE  80SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 15.2N  69.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.6N  72.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE 110SW 130NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 16.0N  74.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 16.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N  60.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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