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Tropical Storm TOMAS (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM TOMAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL212010
0300 UTC SAT OCT 30 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF BARBADOS HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES TO A HURRICANE
WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF ST. LUCIA HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR ST. LUCIA TO A HURRICANE WARNING.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE HAS CHANGED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
MARTINIQUE TO A HURRICANE WARNING.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BARBADOS
* ST. VINCENT AND THE GRENADINES
* ST. LUCIA
* MARTINIQUE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
* GRENADA
* DOMINICA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE NEARING
COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  58.4W AT 30/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  14 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  45SE  45SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE  60SE  45SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.2N  58.4W AT 30/0300Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.9N  57.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.0N  60.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  25SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...105NE  60SE  60SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 13.7N  62.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE  60SE  60SW 105NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 14.2N  65.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  75SE  75SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 14.5N  67.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 15.0N  71.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  65NW.
34 KT...135NE 105SE 105SW 135NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0000Z 15.5N  74.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 16.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.2N  58.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/BROWN
 
 
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