Tropical Storm PAULA

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TROPICAL STORM PAULA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL182010
2100 UTC THU OCT 14 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...LA HABANA AND CIUDAD DE LA
HABANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM CRAIG KEY WESTWARD...INCLUDING THE DRY
TORTUGAS
 
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS WILL LIKELY BE
DISCONTINUED TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  82.8W AT 14/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  90 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..  0NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  82.8W AT 14/2100Z
AT 14/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.8N  83.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 23.0N  81.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 23.0N  79.8W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 23.0N  78.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 22.5N  78.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 250 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 325 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.8N  82.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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