Hurricane EARL

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HURRICANE EARL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL072010
0900 UTC MON AUG 30 2010
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA
* SAINT MARTIN AND SAINT BARTHELEMY
* ST. MAARTEN...SABA...AND ST. EUSTATIUS
* BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS
* U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* PUERTO RICO INCLUDING THE ISLANDS OF CULEBRA AND VIEQUES
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING
AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS
TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
 
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS
CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  62.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 45NE  35SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  80SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 140SE  90SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  62.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  61.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 19.1N  64.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 20.3N  66.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 100SW 130NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 21.9N  67.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  85NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 100SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 24.0N  69.6W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 29.5N  73.0W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT...120NE 110SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 250 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 35.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 42.0N  65.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  62.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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