Tropical Depression FIVE
ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052010
1500 UTC WED AUG 11 2010
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 3 8 13 25 44 56 NA
TROP DEPRESSION 65 48 44 40 32 25 NA
TROPICAL STORM 32 43 41 33 22 17 NA
HURRICANE X 1 2 2 2 1 NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 X 1 2 2 2 1 NA
HUR CAT 2 X X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 3 X X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X NA
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 30KT 35KT 30KT 25KT 20KT 20KT NA
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
APALACHICOLA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
GFMX 290N 850W 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5)
MONTGOMERY AL 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8)
PENSACOLA FL 34 1 5( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) 3(13) 2(15) X(15)
GFMX 290N 870W 34 8 2(10) 2(12) X(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14)
MOBILE AL 34 1 9(10) 6(16) 1(17) 3(20) 2(22) X(22)
MOBILE AL 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
GULFPORT MS 34 1 16(17) 9(26) 2(28) 3(31) 1(32) X(32)
GULFPORT MS 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
GULFPORT MS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
STENNIS MS 34 1 17(18) 9(27) 3(30) 3(33) X(33) X(33)
STENNIS MS 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
STENNIS MS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2)
BURAS LA 34 2 20(22) 6(28) 3(31) 2(33) 1(34) X(34)
BURAS LA 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GFMX 280N 890W 34 3 7(10) 2(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15)
GFMX 287N 884W 34 12 14(26) 2(28) 1(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31)
GFMX 287N 884W 50 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
JACKSON MS 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 4(11) 5(16) 2(18) X(18)
JACKSON MS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 1 12(13) 9(22) 4(26) 2(28) 1(29) X(29)
NEW ORLEANS LA 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
NEW ORLEANS LA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
GFMX 280N 910W 34 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X 4( 4) 8(12) 4(16) 3(19) 1(20) X(20)
BATON ROUGE LA 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) 3(13) 1(14) X(14)
GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SHREVEPORT LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT ARTHUR TX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
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