Hurricane RICK
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HURRICANE RICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202009
2100 UTC SUN OCT 18 2009
INTERESTS IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS EXTREMELY DANGEROUS
HURRICANE. A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA TONIGHT OR MONDAY.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.4W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 921 MB
EYE DIAMETER 20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 140 KT WITH GUSTS TO 170 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 210SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 109.4W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 109.0W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 17.1N 110.7W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 18.3N 111.7W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 19.4N 111.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE 45SE 30SW 30NW.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.7N 111.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 75NE 75SE 60SW 60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 105SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 24.0N 109.0W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 50NW.
34 KT...120NE 130SE 105SW 90NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 26.0N 106.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 109.4W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
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FORECASTER BRENNAN
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