Tropical Storm PATRICIA
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TROPICAL STORM PATRICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192009
0300 UTC TUE OCT 13 2009
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM LA PAZ TO SANTA FE. A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 109.9W AT 13/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT....... 30NE 80SE 50SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 90SE 45SW 45NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 109.9W AT 13/0300Z
AT 13/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 109.9W
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 20.7N 110.0W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 40SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 30NE 80SE 50SW 30NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 21.6N 110.4W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 50SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 22.1N 111.2W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 80SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 22.3N 112.3W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 40SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 22.5N 115.0W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 50NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 22.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 22.5N 121.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 109.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0900Z
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FORECASTER PASCH/LANDSEA
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