Hurricane JIMENA
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HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132009
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2009
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BAHIA MAGDALENA SOUTHWARD ON THE WEST
COAST...AND FROM SAN EVARISTO SOUTHWARD ON THE EAST COAST...
INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS. A HURRICANE WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THIS AREA LATER
TODAY.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA AND IN WESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JIMENA. ADDITIONAL WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR
PORTIONS OF THESE AREAS LATER THIS MORNING.
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 107.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT 7 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 940 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 155 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
50 KT....... 35NE 35SE 25SW 35NW.
34 KT....... 70NE 65SE 55SW 65NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 150SE 75SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 107.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.6W
FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 18.5N 108.7W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 25NW.
50 KT... 45NE 40SE 35SW 45NW.
34 KT... 80NE 70SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 20.1N 109.8W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 155 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
34 KT...100NE 90SE 75SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 22.1N 110.8W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE 30SE 25SW 30NW.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...105NE 100SE 75SW 100NW.
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 24.1N 111.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 60SE 45SW 60NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 90SW 105NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 27.2N 112.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 35NW.
34 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 80NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 28.5N 113.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 29.5N 114.0W...REMNANT LOW INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 107.9W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
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