Tropical Depression IGNACIO

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION IGNACIO DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP122009
800 AM PDT THU AUG 27 2009
 
IGNACIO HAS BEEN DEVOID OF ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION FOR ABOUT 12-18
HOURS. THE CYCLONE CONSISTS OF A LARGE SWIRL OF LOW- TO MID-LEVEL
CLOUDS...SIGNALING THE DEGENERATION OF IGNACIO TO REMNANT LOW
STATUS. THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS KEPT AT 30 KT...OUT OF RESPECT OF
THE OVERNIGHT SCATTEROMETER DATA WHICH SHOWED 30-35 KT WIND
VECTORS. SINCE IGNACIO IS A LARGE CYCLONE...THE WINDS MAY DECREASE
MORE SLOWLY THAN IS TYPICAL FOR A SYSTEM THAT IS SPINNING DOWN OVER
COOL WATER. 

THE INITIAL MOTION IS 320/12. THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD CONTINUE MOVING
NORTHWESTWARD DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THEN GRADUALLY DECELERATE
AND TURN MORE WESTWARD IN THE LOW-LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW.

THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY ON THIS SYSTEM. FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INITIAL      27/1500Z 25.4N 127.3W    30 KT...REMNANT LOW
 12HR VT     28/0000Z 26.8N 128.5W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 24HR VT     28/1200Z 27.9N 129.6W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 36HR VT     29/0000Z 28.5N 131.0W    25 KT...REMNANT LOW
 48HR VT     29/1200Z 28.5N 132.5W    20 KT...REMNANT LOW
 72HR VT     30/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
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