Hurricane GUILLERMO

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HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP102009
1500 UTC SUN AUG 16 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 138.7W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT.......105NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE  75SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 138.7W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 138.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 20.6N 140.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 21.6N 143.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 22.7N 146.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 24.0N 149.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 27.0N 155.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1200Z 31.0N 162.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.1N 138.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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