Hurricane FELICIA

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HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
1500 UTC SAT AUG 08 2009
 
INTERESTS IN HAWAII SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FELICIA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 140.8W AT 08/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  75SE  65SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.3N 140.8W AT 08/1500Z
AT 08/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.2N 140.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0000Z 19.6N 142.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  65SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 19.7N 145.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  15SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 19.8N 148.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  25SE  25SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 19.7N 150.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 19.5N 156.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1200Z 19.5N 161.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1200Z 20.5N 166.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.3N 140.8W
 
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON FELICIA. FUTURE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCMCP2 AND WMO HEADER
WTPA22 PHFO...BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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