Hurricane FELICIA

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HURRICANE FELICIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082009
1500 UTC WED AUG 05 2009
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 128.7W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  955 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 128.7W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 128.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.0N 130.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.4N 131.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.4N 133.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 18.3N 135.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 19.9N 140.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  45SW  60NW.
34 KT...105NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 20.5N 145.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 20.5N 150.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 128.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PEREIRA
 
 
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