Tropical Storm ANDRES

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TROPICAL STORM ANDRES FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP022009
0300 UTC MON JUN 22 2009
 
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH FROM ZIHUATANEJO NORTHWARD TO MANZANILLO. A
TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO SHOULD
MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ANDRES.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 101.9W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   5 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 101.9W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 101.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 15.1N 102.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 15.8N 103.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 16.6N 103.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.8N 104.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  60SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 20.5N 108.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  15SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  60SE  60SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z 21.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 21.5N 117.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 101.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BRENNAN
 
 
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