ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 6 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012009 200 PM PDT FRI JUN 19 2009 THE DEPRESSION HAS BECOME DISORGANIZED THIS AFTERNOON...AND IT IS DIFFICULT TO LOCATE A LOW-LEVEL CENTER BENEATH THE EXPANSIVE CIRRUS CANOPY. IN FACT...THE CIRCULATION MAY BE OPENING UP INTO A TROUGH. THE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR HAS PUSHED THE BULK OF THE DEEP CONVECTION NORTHEAST INTO WESTERN MEXICO WHERE HEAVY RAIN AND SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 KT WERE RECENTLY OBSERVED AT MAZATLAN. THE INITIAL MOTION IS ESTIMATED TO BE 015/12. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TAKES THE DEPRESSION NORTHWARD THROUGH 12 HOURS AND SHOWS DISSIPATION AT 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...THE SYSTEM COULD DISSIPATE SOONER IF IT IS DETERMINED THAT A WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CENTER IS NO LONGER PRESENT. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR A PORTION OF THE MEXICAN COAST...BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER TODAY. THE MAIN IMPACT FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO BE HEAVY RAINFALL AS MOISTURE MOVES INTO THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN MEXICO AND THE SOUTHWESTERN AND SOUTH-CENTRAL UNITED STATES IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INITIAL 19/2100Z 22.3N 106.9W 30 KT 12HR VT 20/0600Z 23.6N 106.7W 30 KT 24HR VT 20/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ FORECASTER BRENNAN/BERG NNNN
Alternate Formats
About Alternates -
E-Mail Advisories -
RSS Feeds
Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory -
Past Advisories -
About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
Latest Products -
About Marine Products
Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery -
US Weather Radar -
Aircraft Recon -
Local Data Archive -
Forecast Verification -
Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense
Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names
Wind Scale -
Prepare -
Climatology -
NHC Glossary -
NHC Acronyms -
Frequently Asked Questions -
AOML Hurricane-Research Division
About Us
About NHC -
Mission/Vision -
Other NCEP Centers -
NHC Staff -
Visitor Information -
NHC Library
NOAA/
National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2009 12:09:15 UTC