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Tropical Depression ANA (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21         
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL022009               
0900 UTC MON AUG 17 2009                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ANA WAS LOCATED NEAR     
LATITUDE 16.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       4      15      25      29      33      37      43
TROP DEPRESSION 64      54      46      39      33      27      26
TROPICAL STORM  30      29      27      29      30      32      27
HURRICANE        1       1       2       3       4       4       4
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1        1       1       2       2       3       3       3
HUR CAT 2        1       X       X       X       1       1       1
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X       X       X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   30KT    25KT    25KT    25KT    25KT    25KT    25KT
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
ATLANTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
AUGUSTA GA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)
 
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   1(11)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   3(12)   X(12)
MIAMI FL       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)   2(12)
MARATHON FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   1(10)   2(12)
 
MARCO ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   1(12)
MARCO ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   4(11)   2(13)
FT MYERS FL    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   4(10)   2(12)
 
TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   2(11)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)   2(10)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
 
ST MARKS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)
 
APALACHICOLA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   1( 8)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   3( 8)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)
 
MOBILE AL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
BURAS LA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
GFMX 280N 890W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
JACKSON MS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
NEW ORLEANS LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CP SAN ANTONIO 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   9( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PONCE          34  9   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
SAN JUAN       34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BERG                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Thursday, 31-Dec-2009 12:09:03 UTC