Tropical Depression SIXTEEN-E
ZCZC MIAPWSEP1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP162008
0300 UTC THU OCT 09 2008
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
I. MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT. X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS
THAN 1 PERCENT.
- - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -
VALID TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR 12 24 36 48 72 96 120
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED 2 2 3 6 13 22 29
TROP DEPRESSION 57 25 23 21 23 23 31
TROPICAL STORM 40 70 65 59 50 45 37
HURRICANE 1 3 9 14 14 10 3
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1 1 3 8 11 11 9 3
HUR CAT 2 X X 1 2 2 1 X
HUR CAT 3 X X X 1 X X X
HUR CAT 4 X X X X X X X
HUR CAT 5 X X X X X X X
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND 35KT 45KT 50KT 55KT 60KT 60KT 55KT
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE
IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6)
L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 3(13)
ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 2(14)
ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 11(14) 6(20) 1(21)
ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 14(21) 4(25) 1(26)
P MALDONADO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
P ANGEL 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 11(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26)
P ANGEL 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 8(16) 5(21) 2(23) X(23)
HUATULCO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
SALINA CRUZ 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
TAPACHULA 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
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