Hurricane HERNAN

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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
1500 UTC SUN AUG 10 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 126.6W AT 10/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  75SE  75SW  60NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 210SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.7N 126.6W AT 10/1500Z
AT 10/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.6N 126.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 18.2N 127.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 45NE  60SE  60SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 120SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 18.5N 129.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 18.4N 130.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 18.0N 131.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.2N 134.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE  45SE  45SW  45NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/1200Z 16.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 16.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.7N 126.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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