Hurricane HERNAN

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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
0300 UTC SAT AUG 09 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 121.7W AT 09/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  977 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 150SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 121.7W AT 09/0300Z
AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 121.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 15.4N 123.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 16.0N 124.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 16.6N 126.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 17.1N 127.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 17.5N 130.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z 17.5N 132.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 14/0000Z 16.5N 134.5W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.1N 121.7W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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