Hurricane HERNAN

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HURRICANE HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP092008
2100 UTC FRI AUG 08 2008
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 120.9W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  980 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  75 KT WITH GUSTS TO  90 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 45NE  45SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  75SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..175NE  90SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 120.9W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 120.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 15.0N 122.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 15.4N 124.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 16.1N 125.7W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  45SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...110NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 16.7N 127.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 17.0N 130.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  50SE  50SW  75NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 17.0N 133.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 16.5N 135.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.8N 120.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BROWN
 
 
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