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Tropical Storm GENEVIEVE


ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM GENEVIEVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP082008
2100 UTC MON JUL 21 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 102.6W AT 21/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 102.6W AT 21/2100Z
AT 21/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 101.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 14.1N 104.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 45NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.5N 106.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  35SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.9N 108.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 35NE   0SE   0SW  35NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.4N 110.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 16.5N 116.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 17.5N 120.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.9N 102.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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