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Tropical Storm ELIDA (Text)

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TROPICAL STORM ELIDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   EP062008
2100 UTC SAT JUL 12 2008
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 100.4W AT 12/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 45NE  30SE  30SW  45NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 100.4W AT 12/2100Z
AT 12/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.2N  99.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 14.4N 102.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 15.6N 104.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  45SE  45SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 16.4N 107.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 17.0N 109.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 17.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  35SE  35SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  75SE  75SW 100NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 200 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 225 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/1800Z 18.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 100.4W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 13/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
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