Tropical Depression ELIDA
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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELIDA DISCUSSION NUMBER 30
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062008
200 AM PDT SAT JUL 19 2008
WHAT LITTLE DEEP CONVECTION EXISTED OVER THE CYCLONE 6 HOURS AGO HAS
SINCE DISSIPATED...AND ELIDA HAS ESSENTIALLY BEEN REDUCED TO A
SKELETON OF ITS FORMER SELF. WITH THE CYCLONE NOW OVER 23 DEGREE
CELSIUS WATER...REDEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AND ELIDA APPEARS WELL
ON ITS WAY TO BECOMING A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY. WHILE SOME OF
THE AVAILABLE MODELS SHOW DISSIPATION SOONER...THE OFFICIAL
FORECAST CALLS FOR DISSIPATION IN 4 DAYS.
ELIDA IS NOW MOVING DUE WEST WITH AN INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE OF
270/12. NOW A SHALLOW CYCLONE...A MOTION TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 19/0900Z 18.1N 131.1W 30 KT
12HR VT 19/1800Z 17.9N 132.9W 25 KT
24HR VT 20/0600Z 17.7N 135.4W 25 KT...REMNANT LOW
36HR VT 20/1800Z 17.4N 137.9W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
48HR VT 21/0600Z 17.0N 140.7W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
72HR VT 22/0600Z 16.5N 146.0W 20 KT...REMNANT LOW
96HR VT 23/0600Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER RHOME
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