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Hurricane PALOMA (Text)

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HURRICANE PALOMA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL172008
2100 UTC SAT NOV 08 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIEGO DE AVILA...CAMAGUEY...LAS TUNAS...GRANMA AND HOLGUIN.
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION.
 
AT 4 PM EST...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR GRAND CAYMAN.  A HURRICANE
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LITTLE CAYMAN AND CAYMAN BRAC.  THIS
WARNING COULD BE DISCONTINUED LATER TONIGHT.
 
AT 4 PM EST...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE
EXUMAS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...SAN SALVADOR...ACKLINS
ISLAND...CROOKED ISLAND AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN
THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCE
OF SANTIAGO DE CUBA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF PALOMA.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  78.5W AT 08/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  55 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 120SE 150SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N  78.5W AT 08/2100Z
AT 08/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N  78.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 21.0N  77.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  35SW  35NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 21.4N  76.9W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 35NE  35SE  25SW  25NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.8N  76.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  45SW  45NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.3N  76.0W...DISSIPATING
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 22.5N  76.0W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/1800Z 22.5N  76.5W...REMNANT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  25 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N  78.5W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 09/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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