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Hurricane OMAR (Text)

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HURRICANE OMAR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL152008
2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2008
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND THE
ISLANDS OF VIEQUES AND CULEBRA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT FOR ST. MARTIN/MAARTEN...
SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. BARTHELEMY...THE BRITISH VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND ANGUILLA.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR
PUERTO RICO...AND ALSO FOR THE ISLANDS OF ST. KITTS AND NEVIS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE..WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...AND
MONTSERRAT.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR GUADELOUPE.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  66.1W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 90NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE 100SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.9N  66.1W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N  66.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 17.6N  64.8W...NRN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 45NE  45SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 20.4N  62.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 23.2N  60.9W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  15NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 26.1N  59.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 31.7N  54.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW  70NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 39.0N  44.5W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 48.0N  27.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.9N  66.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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