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Hurricane KYLE (Text)


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
HURRICANE KYLE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12                  
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL   AL112008               
1500 UTC SUN SEP 28 2008                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KYLE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 40.4
NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS
...80 MPH...130 KM/HR.                                              
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
                                                                    
I.  MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITY TABLE                
                                                                    
CHANCES THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEED OF 
THE TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE WITHIN ANY OF THE FOLLOWING CATEGORIES 
AT EACH OFFICIAL FORECAST TIME DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.              
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT.  X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS 
THAN 1 PERCENT.                                                     
                                                                    
                                                                    
      - - - MAXIMUM WIND SPEED (INTENSITY) PROBABILITIES - - -      
                                                                    
VALID TIME   00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR   12      24      36      48      72      96     120  
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
DISSIPATED       X       1       7      18      36      NA      NA
TROP DEPRESSION  1       9      29      40      32      NA      NA
TROPICAL STORM  76      75      58      39      28      NA      NA
HURRICANE       23      16       6       3       4      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
HUR CAT 1       23      14       5       3       3      NA      NA
HUR CAT 2        X       1       1       1       1      NA      NA
HUR CAT 3        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 4        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
HUR CAT 5        X       X       X       X       X      NA      NA
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
FCST MAX WIND   60KT    50KT    45KT    35KT    25KT    NA      NA  
                                                                    
                                                                    
II. WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS             
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)...                                   
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)...                                   
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)...                                   
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE               
    IP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY)          
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED  LOCATIONS - - - -  
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   4( 4)   6(10)   1(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X  11(11)   8(19)   1(20)   3(23)   X(23)   X(23)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  4  26(30)   2(32)   1(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  1  19(20)   4(24)   1(25)   1(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  3   9(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
HALIFAX NS     34 37  34(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)   X(71)
HALIFAX NS     50  1  19(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34 92   4(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)   X(96)
YARMOUTH NS    50 44  14(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
YARMOUTH NS    64  6   5(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
MONCTON NB     34 11  67(78)   3(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
MONCTON NB     50  X  33(33)   3(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)   X(36)
MONCTON NB     64  X   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ST JOHN NB     34 38  45(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)   X(83)
ST JOHN NB     50  2  29(31)   1(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
ST JOHN NB     64  X   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
EASTPORT ME    34 41  24(65)   1(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)
EASTPORT ME    50  2  10(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
EASTPORT ME    64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34 21  10(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  6   4(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
CONCORD NH     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BOSTON MA      34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
                                                                    
                                                                    
NNNN                                                                

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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Apr-2009 12:09:23 UTC